Ilmapiir nine weather models, one clear answer

Weather in Jõhvi

Weather forecast for 7 days · Ida-Viru County, Estonia · updated 14:30

overcast
11.6 °C
overcast
Wind 6.7 m/s Rain 0.0 mm Humidity 90%
Forecast confidence

For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 11.1...12.7 °C, a spread of 1.6 degrees.

7-day weather in Jõhvi

DayWeatherHighLowRainWind
Sunday
25 October
drizzle 12.3 ° 7.4 ° 0.3 mm 7.9 m/s
Monday
26 October
drizzle 12.3 ° 8.9 ° 2.3 mm 8.7 m/s
Tuesday
27 October
overcast 11.3 ° 8.1 ° 0.0 mm 5.1 m/s
Wednesday
28 October
overcast 10.0 ° 5.5 ° 0.0 mm 4.9 m/s
Thursday
29 October
drizzle 11.1 ° 5.1 ° 1.8 mm 4.0 m/s
Friday
30 October
drizzle 9.6 ° 3.3 ° 1.8 mm 3.3 m/s
Saturday
31 October
fog 9.3 ° 3.3 ° 0.0 mm 3.0 m/s
Open the hourly view and map for Jõhvi

Weather and climate in Jõhvi

Jõhvi is the centre of north-eastern Estonia, where the cooling influence of the Gulf of Finland meets the continental character of the interior. Winters here are colder than in Tallinn and snow cover lasts longer, while in summer the coolness of the sea rarely reaches the town.

The weather in Ida-Viru County can be quite different within a radius of only a few tens of kilometres - the coast, the upland and the interior each behave in their own way. The seven-day table together with the model comparison gives a clear picture of what to expect.

Where this forecast comes from

Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.

Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.

Thunderstorms and warnings

The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.

See also

Weather nearby

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