Ilmapiir nine weather models, one clear answer

Weather in Sillamäe

Weather forecast for 7 days · Ida-Viru County, Estonia · updated 14:30

overcast
11.5 °C
overcast
Wind 5.8 m/s Rain 0.0 mm Humidity 88%
Forecast confidence

For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 11.0...13.4 °C, a spread of 2.4 degrees.

7-day weather in Sillamäe

DayWeatherHighLowRainWind
Sunday
25 October
drizzle 12.2 ° 7.7 ° 0.2 mm 7.6 m/s
Monday
26 October
drizzle 12.4 ° 9.4 ° 3.7 mm 7.3 m/s
Tuesday
27 October
overcast 11.2 ° 8.1 ° 0.0 mm 6.1 m/s
Wednesday
28 October
overcast 10.5 ° 6.1 ° 0.0 mm 5.3 m/s
Thursday
29 October
drizzle 11.1 ° 5.5 ° 1.5 mm 4.3 m/s
Friday
30 October
drizzle 9.6 ° 4.9 ° 2.7 mm 3.4 m/s
Saturday
31 October
drizzle 9.4 ° 4.9 ° 0.3 mm 3.4 m/s
Open the hourly view and map for Sillamäe

Weather and climate in Sillamäe

Sillamäe lies on the shore of the Gulf of Finland between Jõhvi and Narva, at the mouth of the Sõtke River. The Ida-Viru coast is among the colder parts of Estonia, and northerly and north-easterly winds bring moist air from the gulf, which in winter often means snowfall.

On the coast the wind plays a big part: the same low-pressure system may bring a storm to Sillamäe when inland it is simply windy. The wind forecast is in the daily table, and official warnings appear on the page as soon as they affect the Ida-Viru coast.

Where this forecast comes from

Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.

Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.

Thunderstorms and warnings

The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.

See also

Weather nearby

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