Ilmapiir nine weather models, one clear answer

Weather in Mustvee

Weather forecast for 7 days · Jõgeva County, Estonia · updated 14:15

overcast
11.0 °C
overcast
Wind 4.6 m/s Rain 0.0 mm Humidity 90%
Forecast confidence

For tomorrow's high temperature the models agree: 9 models give 11.2...12.5 °C, a spread of 1.3 degrees.

7-day weather in Mustvee

DayWeatherHighLowRainWind
Sunday
25 October
drizzle 11.7 ° 8.0 ° 0.2 mm 7.0 m/s
Monday
26 October
rain 11.9 ° 8.6 ° 4.6 mm 7.0 m/s
Tuesday
27 October
overcast 11.1 ° 7.9 ° 0.0 mm 5.1 m/s
Wednesday
28 October
overcast 11.2 ° 5.6 ° 0.0 mm 4.9 m/s
Thursday
29 October
drizzle 11.0 ° 5.6 ° 1.8 mm 3.4 m/s
Friday
30 October
drizzle 9.1 ° 4.4 ° 0.6 mm 2.9 m/s
Saturday
31 October
fog 9.3 ° 4.3 ° 0.0 mm 3.6 m/s
Open the hourly view and map for Mustvee

Weather and climate in Mustvee

Mustvee stands on the western shore of Lake Peipus, and the large lake governs the weather here: in spring the cool water keeps the air by the shore crisp, while in autumn the lake keeps the coast warm for a long time. In winter, moist air coming from the lake can bring heavy snowfall to the shore zone.

Wind and waves on Peipus are an everyday question for anglers - wind speed is always available in the daily table, and storm warnings appear on the page as soon as they affect Peipus.

Where this forecast comes from

Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.

Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.

Thunderstorms and warnings

The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.

See also

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