Ilmapiir nine weather models, one clear answer

Weather in Paide

Weather forecast for 7 days · Järva County, Estonia · updated 14:15

overcast
10.7 °C
overcast
Wind 5.2 m/s Rain 0.0 mm Humidity 79%
Forecast confidence

For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 10.6...12.9 °C, a spread of 2.3 degrees.

7-day weather in Paide

DayWeatherHighLowRainWind
Sunday
25 October
overcast 11.7 ° 6.1 ° 0.0 mm 6.2 m/s
Monday
26 October
rain 11.7 ° 8.5 ° 10.2 mm 6.5 m/s
Tuesday
27 October
overcast 11.2 ° 8.5 ° 0.0 mm 5.0 m/s
Wednesday
28 October
overcast 10.2 ° 7.0 ° 0.0 mm 4.9 m/s
Thursday
29 October
drizzle 10.5 ° 6.3 ° 2.4 mm 3.3 m/s
Friday
30 October
drizzle 9.1 ° 3.3 ° 4.5 mm 2.1 m/s
Saturday
31 October
overcast 8.9 ° 2.3 ° 0.0 mm 2.2 m/s
Open the hourly view and map for Paide

Weather and climate in Paide

Paide lies in the geographical heart of Estonia, in Järva County, where the weather is average for the country in the literal sense too: the extremes of the sea do not reach here, and the temperature follows the rhythm of the interior - warm summers and cold winters.

On the open ground of central Estonia the wind has room to gather strength, and a winter blizzard can close roads quickly. The road weather view shows the condition of the road surface and the road cameras before you get behind the wheel.

Where this forecast comes from

Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.

Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.

Thunderstorms and warnings

The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.

See also

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