Ilmapiir
nine weather models, one clear answer
Weather in Saue
Weather forecast for 7 days · Harju County, Estonia · updated 13:45
For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 11.4...13.2 °C, a spread of 1.8 degrees.
7-day weather in Saue
| Day | Weather | High | Low | Rain | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday 25 October |
overcast |
11.3 ° | 6.7 ° | 0.0 mm | 7.2 m/s |
| Monday 26 October |
 drizzle |
11.4 ° | 8.8 ° | 2.5 mm | 7.6 m/s |
| Tuesday 27 October |
drizzle |
12.3 ° | 9.5 ° | 0.4 mm | 6.6 m/s |
| Wednesday 28 October |
drizzle |
10.8 ° | 8.5 ° | 0.3 mm | 5.5 m/s |
| Thursday 29 October |
drizzle |
11.6 ° | 4.4 ° | 1.2 mm | 3.3 m/s |
| Friday 30 October |
 fog |
10.1 ° | 4.3 ° | 0.0 mm | 2.1 m/s |
| Saturday 31 October |
overcast |
8.8 ° | 3.2 ° | 0.0 mm | 2.2 m/s |
Weather and climate in Saue
Saue is Tallinn's south-western neighbour in Harju County, a little inland from the coast. The broad outlines of the weather are the same as in the capital, but the influence of the sea is already weaker here: clear winter nights tend to be colder than on the Tallinn coast and snow stays longer.
Moving from the coast inland, precipitation often changes - it can snow in Saue while Tallinn gets sleet. The model agreement panel shows how united the models are.
Where this forecast comes from
Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.
Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.
Thunderstorms and warnings
The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.