Ilmapiir
nine weather models, one clear answer
Weather in Põlva
Weather forecast for 7 days · Põlva County, Estonia · updated 13:45
For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 11.1...13.5 °C, a spread of 2.4 degrees.
7-day weather in Põlva
| Day | Weather | High | Low | Rain | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday 25 October |
overcast |
12.4 ° | 7.2 ° | 0.0 mm | 6.4 m/s |
| Monday 26 October |
 rain |
12.1 ° | 7.7 ° | 4.2 mm | 6.7 m/s |
| Tuesday 27 October |
overcast |
10.8 ° | 6.0 ° | 0.0 mm | 4.4 m/s |
| Wednesday 28 October |
overcast |
10.9 ° | 4.2 ° | 0.0 mm | 5.2 m/s |
| Thursday 29 October |
 drizzle |
10.2 ° | 5.4 ° | 1.2 mm | 2.7 m/s |
| Friday 30 October |
drizzle |
9.0 ° | 5.9 ° | 3.3 mm | 3.1 m/s |
| Saturday 31 October |
overcast |
8.4 ° | 2.6 ° | 0.0 mm | 2.5 m/s |
Weather and climate in Põlva
Põlva lies in south-eastern Estonia in the Orajõgi valley, with a reservoir lake in the heart of the town. The inland position makes the climate continental: summer is warm, winter is cold and snow cover often lasts longer than on the northern Estonian coast.
In the hilly landscape of south-eastern Estonia, night frosts are stronger in the valleys than on the hills, and summer thunderstorms develop quickly. The lightning map and the nine-model comparison show whether a storm will reach Põlva.
Where this forecast comes from
Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.
Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.
Thunderstorms and warnings
The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.