Ilmapiir nine weather models, one clear answer

Weather in Võru

Weather forecast for 7 days · Võru County, Estonia · updated 14:15

overcast
12.3 °C
overcast
Wind 4.6 m/s Rain 0.0 mm Humidity 78%
Forecast confidence

For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 11.1...13.3 °C, a spread of 2.2 degrees.

7-day weather in Võru

DayWeatherHighLowRainWind
Sunday
25 October
overcast 13.0 ° 7.0 ° 0.0 mm 6.0 m/s
Monday
26 October
drizzle 12.4 ° 8.6 ° 3.0 mm 6.0 m/s
Tuesday
27 October
overcast 11.5 ° 6.2 ° 0.0 mm 4.3 m/s
Wednesday
28 October
overcast 11.1 ° 4.9 ° 0.0 mm 4.2 m/s
Thursday
29 October
drizzle 11.6 ° 6.7 ° 0.6 mm 3.2 m/s
Friday
30 October
drizzle 9.3 ° 6.7 ° 0.3 mm 2.8 m/s
Saturday
31 October
fog 8.1 ° 3.8 ° 0.0 mm 2.1 m/s
Open the hourly view and map for Võru

Weather and climate in Võru

Võru lies among the hilly landscape of south-eastern Estonia, on the shore of Lake Tamula. This is the most continental corner of Estonia: it was in Võru that Estonia's heat record of 35.6 °C was measured on 11 August 1992, and the winter frosts here are also among the harshest in the country.

The hilly landscape makes the local weather varied: at night the valleys are several degrees colder than the hills. The accuracy leaderboard shows which model has recently been closest to the mark in the difficult terrain of south-eastern Estonia.

Where this forecast comes from

Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.

Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.

Thunderstorms and warnings

The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.

See also

Weather nearby

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