Ilmapiir
nine weather models, one clear answer
Weather in Paldiski
Weather forecast for 7 days · Harju County, Estonia · updated 13:45
For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 11.2...13.1 °C, a spread of 1.9 degrees.
7-day weather in Paldiski
| Day | Weather | High | Low | Rain | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday 25 October |
overcast |
11.4 ° | 7.7 ° | 0.0 mm | 9.1 m/s |
| Monday 26 October |
 rain |
11.5 ° | 9.3 ° | 3.0 mm | 9.1 m/s |
| Tuesday 27 October |
 drizzle |
12.7 ° | 10.0 ° | 0.7 mm | 8.8 m/s |
| Wednesday 28 October |
overcast |
11.5 ° | 9.2 ° | 0.0 mm | 7.3 m/s |
| Thursday 29 October |
drizzle |
12.3 ° | 6.1 ° | 1.2 mm | 4.1 m/s |
| Friday 30 October |
 fog |
10.4 ° | 6.1 ° | 0.0 mm | 3.3 m/s |
| Saturday 31 October |
overcast |
9.3 ° | 3.9 ° | 0.0 mm | 2.6 m/s |
Weather and climate in Paldiski
Paldiski lies on the Pakri Peninsula, which the sea surrounds on three sides. The high coastal cliffs and open sea make Paldiski a windy place - wind farms also operate on the peninsula. Winters are mild under the influence of the sea, and spring is cool.
Wind direction decides a great deal here: with an onshore wind it is cool and damp, with an offshore wind warmer. The wind forecast is in the daily table, and storm warnings appear on the page as soon as they affect the northern Estonian coast.
Where this forecast comes from
Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.
Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.
Thunderstorms and warnings
The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.