Ilmapiir nine weather models, one clear answer

Weather in Kohtla-Järve

Weather forecast for 7 days · Ida-Viru County, Estonia · updated 13:45

overcast
11.1 °C
overcast
Wind 6.6 m/s Rain 0.0 mm Humidity 91%
Forecast confidence

For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 11.0...12.6 °C, a spread of 1.6 degrees.

7-day weather in Kohtla-Järve

DayWeatherHighLowRainWind
Sunday
25 October
drizzle 12.1 ° 7.4 ° 0.1 mm 8.5 m/s
Monday
26 October
drizzle 11.9 ° 8.9 ° 2.8 mm 8.8 m/s
Tuesday
27 October
overcast 11.1 ° 8.2 ° 0.0 mm 6.2 m/s
Wednesday
28 October
overcast 10.2 ° 6.6 ° 0.0 mm 6.2 m/s
Thursday
29 October
drizzle 9.4 ° 6.6 ° 1.8 mm 4.3 m/s
Friday
30 October
fog 9.5 ° 7.5 ° 0.0 mm 3.5 m/s
Saturday
31 October
overcast 9.3 ° 5.9 ° 0.0 mm 3.5 m/s
Open the hourly view and map for Kohtla-Järve

Weather and climate in Kohtla-Järve

Kohtla-Järve is an industrial city in Ida-Viru County made up of several separate districts - Järve, Ahtme, Sompa, Kukruse and Oru. The Gulf of Finland is close to the north, but winters here are much colder than in Tallinn and snow cover lasts longer.

There are kilometres between the districts, so a summer shower in Ahtme can be quite different from one in Järve. The model agreement panel tells you how reliable the Ida-Viru forecast is at any given moment.

Where this forecast comes from

Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.

Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.

Thunderstorms and warnings

The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.

See also

Weather nearby

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