Ilmapiir nine weather models, one clear answer

Weather in Räpina

Weather forecast for 7 days · Põlva County, Estonia · updated 15:15

overcast
11.3 °C
overcast
Wind 4.8 m/s Rain 0.0 mm Humidity 89%
Forecast confidence

For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 11.1...13.5 °C, a spread of 2.4 degrees.

7-day weather in Räpina

DayWeatherHighLowRainWind
Sunday
25 October
drizzle 12.2 ° 8.0 ° 0.9 mm 6.8 m/s
Monday
26 October
rain 11.7 ° 8.4 ° 2.5 mm 7.0 m/s
Tuesday
27 October
overcast 12.0 ° 5.6 ° 0.0 mm 3.9 m/s
Wednesday
28 October
overcast 11.6 ° 5.2 ° 0.0 mm 4.5 m/s
Thursday
29 October
drizzle 11.5 ° 7.0 ° 0.9 mm 3.0 m/s
Friday
30 October
drizzle 9.8 ° 6.5 ° 0.6 mm 3.0 m/s
Saturday
31 October
fog 9.0 ° 3.8 ° 0.0 mm 3.1 m/s
Open the hourly view and map for Räpina

Weather and climate in Räpina

Räpina lies in Põlva County on the Võhandu River, close to Lake Lämmijärv. In the middle of the town there is a reservoir lake built on the Võhandu. The nearness of the large lake softens autumn, but winter here is continental and cold.

For gardeners and anglers, night frost and wind on the lake are important - both are in the daily table, and the model comparison shows whether the forecast is reliable.

Where this forecast comes from

Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.

Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.

Thunderstorms and warnings

The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.

See also

Weather nearby

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