Ilmapiir nine weather models, one clear answer

Weather in Viimsi

Weather forecast for 7 days · Harju County, Estonia · updated 14:30

partly cloudy
10.7 °C
partly cloudy
Wind 5.6 m/s Rain 0.0 mm Humidity 77%
Forecast confidence

For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 11.2...13.1 °C, a spread of 1.9 degrees.

7-day weather in Viimsi

DayWeatherHighLowRainWind
Sunday
25 October
overcast 11.5 ° 6.8 ° 0.0 mm 8.0 m/s
Monday
26 October
drizzle 11.5 ° 9.2 ° 2.1 mm 7.9 m/s
Tuesday
27 October
overcast 12.2 ° 9.7 ° 0.0 mm 7.5 m/s
Wednesday
28 October
drizzle 11.8 ° 8.6 ° 0.3 mm 6.6 m/s
Thursday
29 October
drizzle 10.0 ° 6.8 ° 3.1 mm 4.8 m/s
Friday
30 October
drizzle 10.3 ° 6.7 ° 1.8 mm 3.3 m/s
Saturday
31 October
overcast 9.2 ° 5.3 ° 0.0 mm 3.0 m/s
Open the hourly view and map for Viimsi

Weather and climate in Viimsi

Viimsi lies next to Tallinn on the Viimsi Peninsula, between Tallinn Bay and Muuga Bay. The sea surrounds the peninsula on three sides, so winters are mild, spring is cool and the wind is felt almost every day.

On a peninsula rain may stay out over the bay or reach land only as a narrow strip. The live lightning map and the nine-model comparison show which scenario is more likely.

Where this forecast comes from

Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.

Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.

Thunderstorms and warnings

The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.

See also

Weather nearby

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