Weather forecast for 7 days · Harju County, Estonia · updated 14:30
For tomorrow's high temperature the models broadly agree: 9 models give 11.2...13.1 °C, a spread of 1.9 degrees.
| Day | Weather | High | Low | Rain | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday 25 October |
11.5 ° | 6.8 ° | 0.0 mm | 8.0 m/s | |
| Monday 26 October |
11.5 ° | 9.2 ° | 2.1 mm | 7.9 m/s | |
| Tuesday 27 October |
12.2 ° | 9.7 ° | 0.0 mm | 7.5 m/s | |
| Wednesday 28 October |
11.8 ° | 8.6 ° | 0.3 mm | 6.6 m/s | |
| Thursday 29 October |
10.0 ° | 6.8 ° | 3.1 mm | 4.8 m/s | |
| Friday 30 October |
10.3 ° | 6.7 ° | 1.8 mm | 3.3 m/s | |
| Saturday 31 October |
9.2 ° | 5.3 ° | 0.0 mm | 3.0 m/s |
Viimsi lies next to Tallinn on the Viimsi Peninsula, between Tallinn Bay and Muuga Bay. The sea surrounds the peninsula on three sides, so winters are mild, spring is cool and the wind is felt almost every day.
On a peninsula rain may stay out over the bay or reach land only as a narrow strip. The live lightning map and the nine-model comparison show which scenario is more likely.
Most weather sites show a single model and give the impression that the answer is certain. Ilmapiir compares nine national weather models at once: ECMWF, Germany's DWD ICON, the US GFS, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, Norway's MET, Canada's GEM, Japan's JMA and China's CMA. When the models agree, you can rely on the forecast; when they diverge, it is more honest to say that it is only a probability.
Ilmapiir also records the measured temperature every hour and compares it with what each model promised a day earlier. This gives a rolling 30-day average error for every model - an answer to the question of whom to believe.
The lightning map shows strikes in real time, and your phone can alert you when lightning strikes within a chosen distance of a chosen place. Official warnings from the Estonian Environment Agency are shown in the interactive view, and the rain radar shows where it is raining right now - the radar image updates every 10 minutes.